Barnard Microsystems Limited

Developing Unmanned Aircraft Systems to benefit Mankind

The UAS market - UAV Market
EC Frost & Sullivan UAS Study

UAV market

Download a copy of the EC funded Frost & Sullivan UAS Study.

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ICG Final Report on investment in UAV activities in the UK

UAV market

Download a copy of the ICG Final Report (courtesy Scott Bredda).

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Roadmap for UAV introduction: Air4All Consortium view

UAV market

from slides on Air4All Consortium web site at http://www.air4all.net/?OBH=314

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Above: civil security UAV missions, as extracted from the Air4All questionnaire.

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Above: civilian applications, as deduced from the Air4All Questionnaire.

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The most important (May 2008) factors in respect of the flight of Unmanned Aircraft are shown above, from the responses to the Air4All Questionnaire.

UAV market

Other barriers and challenges to the introduction of Unmanned Aircraft in unsegregated air space - from the Air4All Consortium.

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Indications of expenditure on UAVs from uav_roadmap2005.pdf

UAV market

The above projection suggests a 28.4% year-on-year increase in US DoD spending from the year 2000, to at least the year 2010. Given this tremendous, albeit planned, expenditure, it makes sense to keep track of developments in the military UAV area, to enable any relevant developments to be applied to UAVs for use in civilian applications.

UAV market

Illustration of DoD view of the increasing usage of unmanned aircraft.

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Estimated European UAV market breakdown

UAV market

Above and below from a presentation by Mike Strong DCMAC at the EUROCONTROL UAS Workshop on the 7th May 2008 at EUROCONTROL HQ in Brussels. Contact = michael.strong@eurocontrol.int.

UAV market

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from https://engineering.purdue.edu/AAE/Academics/Courses/aae451/2007/Spring/srr_paper_final_team2.pdf

UAV market

Above and below from a presentation by Mike Strong DCMAC at the EUROCONTROL UAS Workshop on the 7th May 2008 at EUROCONTROL HQ in Brussels. Contact = michael.strong@eurocontrol.int.

UAV market

UAV market

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Estimated UAV market size in Australia in 1997

UAV market

Indications of the Australian UAV market size.

From www.uavforum.com (link no longer exists) uav_roadmap.pdf

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Increasing use of unmanned helicopters in agricultural applications in Japan

UAV market

We see the steady increase in helicopters registered for agricultural use, with the majority of them being the Yamaha RMAX unmanned helicopter. From http://www.yamaha-motor.co.jp/global/industrial/sky/agricultural/index.html

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Some thoughts on the UAV market by Andre Clot

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From a Parc Aberporth brochure.

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UAV growth projections, according to staff at The Teal Group Corporation

from www.tealgroup.com

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UAV market

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View from a Venture Capitalist...

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Innovative UAV and associated electronics business could attract " serious money" ..., from Electronics Weekly 9th May 2007. Hmmm....

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Revenues versus number of employees in UAS manufacturing companies

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- from http://www.uavforum.com/vendors/vendgraph.htm

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Pilotless aircraft tested in Arizona

from http://www.azcentral.com/arizonarepublic/business/articles/0518biz-uav0518.html

Max Jarman

The Arizona Republic

18 May 2008

Arizona's airspace is being invaded by a bizarre array of aircraft that resemble flying wastebaskets, giant cigars with wings and model airplanes on steroids.

They are unmanned aerial vehicles, or UAVs, and they are becoming an increasingly important tool in warfare, border security and law enforcement. The unmanned planes are relatively inexpensive compared with conventional aircraft and can be flown on dangerous missions without putting a pilot and crew at risk.

Arizona, because of its clear skies, open space and roster of aerospace and defense companies, is emerging as a hub for the development and production of the pilotless aircraft.

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Honeywell Aerospace developed the Micro Air Vehicle, an 18-pound aircraft that can maneuver like a helicopter.

Companies come from around the globe to test their technologies at Fort Huachuca and at Raytheon Co.'s unmanned-aircraft test site near Sierra Vista, one of a handful of such facilities in the country.

And at Honeywell Aerospace in Phoenix, Advanced Ceramics Research in Tucson and the Boeing Co. in Mesa, engineers are working on versions of the unmanned airplanes and the high-tech systems that make them fly and function.

The UAVs were initially conceived as reconnaissance and information-gathering tools but in Iraq and Afghanistan, they are increasingly being outfitted with weapons and being called upon to perform an expanding list of tasks.

The industry is growing at more than 10 percent per year, and sales are expected to reach $10 billion by 2012, according to some estimates.

Much on the momentum is coming from the U.S. military. After early battlefield successes in Iraq and Afghanistan, the military has been lavishing money on UAVs.

The Department of Defense forecasts that one-third of its strike force will utilize UAVs by 2010

Their lower cost and potential for saving lives make them a no-brainer for the military, which is spending billions of dollars a year on purchases and research.

The proposed 2009 defense budget alone provides $2 billion to purchase unmanned aerial vehicles such as General Atomics' Predator and Northrop Grumman's Global Hawk.

A 2005 Air Force study estimated the cost of training a pilot at $700,000 and a UAV operator at $13,000.

Furthermore, UAVs do not require incremental pilot-related costs such as displays and instruments, ejection seats and environmental controls. The planes are smaller and lighter and more aerodynamic, which translates into lower component and fuel costs.

Honeywell's Micro Air Vehicle performs the reconnaissance work of a helicopter at a cost of about $250,000. That compares with $60 million for an Apache helicopter.

"There is a big push for procurement of these systems and a lot of money available," said Lindsay Voss, an unmanned-systems industry analyst with the market-research firm Frost & Sullivan.

There also is a growing commercial market for the planes, which analysts predict will eventually haul cargo and even passengers. Already the planes are being used to study air quality in California and global warming in Greenland. Police departments in Houston and Miami also are considering adding unmanned aircraft to their forces.

"They could be used for security, pipeline inspections, monitoring forest fires and collecting data on climate change," said Vaughn Fulton, manager of Honeywell's Micro Air Vehicle program.

Don Newman, director of unmanned systems for Raytheon Co. in Tucson, predicts cargo companies such as UPS and FedEx eventually will use unmanned aircraft.

"Think of the money they could save, if they didn't have to have pilots flying their planes," he said.

But there is a major hurdle that must be overcome before the commercial market for unmanned aircraft can be fully developed: the Federal Aviation Administration's reluctance to allow the planes to fly in the National Airspace System regulated by the agency.

The unmanned planes now fly in restricted airspace around military bases but must obtain hard-to-get special authorization to fly in the general air space.

Honeywell and other companies are currently working with the FAA to develop rules that would allow UAVs to safely share the airspace with conventional aircraft.

"It's really a groundbreaking process," Cuff said.

Once the FAA approved standards for using unmanned aerial vehicles in the National Airspace System, the industry is really expected to take off. That could be as soon as 2010, according to estimates.

"Everyone is waiting for the civilian market to erupt," Voss said.

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